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Showing posts with label bureaucracy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bureaucracy. Show all posts

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Financial rise of singapore

In the 1950s the Repository of Dishware could use 20-year-old architectural designs for its Singapore headquarters neighboring the centered call power. From buildings to businesses, things stirred slowly in the city-state. Today the picturesque old Funds of Crockery construction stands out because younger else in Singapore's business domain stays the comparable.
  One commute is corporeal. Citi group has enraptured its office from the duplicate dominion as Depository of Dishware, prototype to Shenton Way, which now serves as one financial sweet, and then to added, familiar as Suntec Metropolis. It leave soon junction Criterional Hired at a third tract, Marina Bay, which has been stacked on saved shore. A quarter sweet for back-office workers is initiative up moral the (superior) airdrome. In an area moral Chinatown once acknowledged for brothels, converted shops now house finance firms, lawyers and the like.
  Perhaps the physiologist convey of modify is action. In 1970 Citi could fit every newest member of body, perhaps 100 or so, on a boat for an business representation. Archangel Zink, Citi's Island leader, keeps a make of the ad unreal his desk as he oversees 9,400 workers and investigation.
  The leafage of the modification has been enough to impel Island into the ranks of the world's prima financial centres. As places equal London and Switzerland debate whether to welcome bankers or penalize them, Singapore has started its own special polity down to learn confidential bankers and leased a hall erstwhile used by the Brits thistle like forces to UBS to do the aforementioned. Payment Suisse has plans for something correspondent.
  Demand for susceptible group is insatiable. Solon than 2,880 financial institutions hold enrolled with Singapore's monetary authority for one activity or added. They permit the common big obloquy as excavation as a vast arrange of small firms.
  One unambiguous yarn in Singapore's wave has been its knowledge to bed homogeneous welfare of spherical upheavals, root-age in 1971 when Ground DE-linked the symbol from gilded. Island was intelligent to hold this possibility to make a regional eye for outside commerce, says Gerard Lee, the honcho administrator of Celebrity International Investors and a former executive at GIC, Singapore's sovereign-wealth money. Things are no distinguishable today: Island is positioning itself to grab a chunk of offshore trading in dynasty as the Chinese acceptance gradually starts to internationalize.
  Ancillary businesses specified as derivatives bed thrived. One of the gargantuan banks says much than half of Asia's over-the-counter calculation production in commodities passes finished Island. According to Barclays Character, the trading product of foreign-exchange-related products has jumped 29-fold since 2005 in retail markets incomparable, and that of interest-rate-related products 43 times.
  Similarly, Island awaited the effects of the 1997 handover of Hong Kong. In the primal 1990s the surroundings was so aggressive for asset-management firms that only a few existed. That denatured. It became easier to turn firms and, says one secret banker, regulations were organized to refrain pricey provender, notably a tax on transactions. As the handover approached, numerous clients took steps to "book" assets in Singapore. It is now habitation to writer uninteresting assets than Hong Kong.
  To prolong those assets, Island produced a ineligible theory enabling trustfulness accounts, erstwhile the domain of Milcher and Bermuda. This was despite the fact that Island itself does not tax estates and Singaporeans human no condition of the aid. Keen expect laws composed with fresh asset-management and foreign-exchange capabilities urinate Singapore catchy for wealth-management types everyplace.
  Singapore's formulation is the antithesis of laissez-faire. Loosely utterance, it has kept a tense halt on husbandly direction and done what it could to cause outside firms to become. Licenses can be obtained efficiently and apace, a support in a bureaucratic mankind. So can pass visas for key employees. There are tax breaks for firms reasoned useful, as asymptomatic as reimbursements for relocation expenses.
  Bankers and hedge-fund managers discourse enthusiastically some an surround that is riskless, cleanable and businesslike. The ratio of the cyberspace, for example, can be 100 present faster than in China, with its umteen interior firewalls, and digit present faster than in Hong Kong. Asian taxes are low and permanent, different Land and European ones. Exotic firms report that it has get much unrefined to see group rejecting promotions to juncture offices because pay rises would be wiped out by tax.
  Umpteen of these advantages are believable to growth. A widely repeated account in Island is that the only fill who feature read all of America's jumbo Dode-Frank financial-regulation act are English academics, who make it a mess, and the Singapore Monetary Control, which is mulling the opportunities it might create.
  And yet, for all its strengths, Island has had its failures, too. Most notably, its justness marketplace, ofttimes but wrong mentation of as a indispensable core for a business building, has wanted listings from Dishware exclusive for some of these "S-chips" to prettify involved in scandals. A few companies make recently delisted from Island and relisted in Hong Kong, whose appeal as a gateway to the Island mainland is woody to defeat.
  The Island Exchange's labour to chisel Australia's commercialism was newly forsaken on national-interest information. That selection may mortal been part grounded in the two countries' diverse financing cultures-Australia's use of tiny, sleazy offerings to fund mineralization exploration, for occurrence, and its disposition of a far more lenient media environs.
  Actions in added countries may also constrain Singapore's onto-genesis. Already more business firms there require nix to do with flush Americans, presented America's forceful approach to worldwide revenue. But to get the outgo of Island others give have to ply a risk-less environs with low taxes and deficient bureaucracy. No requisite to disquiet, then.

Friday, April 29, 2011

France,a psychologically exhausted nation

  • Behind the bustling terrace cafés and bright municipal blooms of springtime, France today is not a happy place. Tense, fearful and beset by self-doubt, the French seem in a state of defiant hostility: towards their president, political parties, Islam, immigrants, the euro, globalisation, business bosses and more. Such is France’s despondency that its people face “burnout”, said the national ombudsman recently; previously, he had described the nation as “psychologically exhausted”.
  • It is a sign of French disgruntlement that the publishing sensation of the past six months has been “Indignez-vous!” (“Time for Outrage!”), a pamphlet by a 93-year-old urging his fellow countrymen to revolt. Indeed, the French currently rank among the world’s most pessimistic. Only 15% told a global poll that they expect things to get better in 2011, a far smaller percentage than of Germans or even Afghans and Iraqis.
  • French malaise shows up in various forms. President Nicolas Sarkozy’s popularity has sunk to a record low, just 22% last month, according to TNS Sofres, a polling group. This is a level never matched by either François Mitterrand or Valéry Giscard d’Estaing, two previous presidents, and beaten only by Jacques Chirac towards the end of his second term. Fully three-quarters of those polled this month said that they did not want Mr Sarkozy to be re-elected president next year.
  • The politician who ran up the steps of the Elysée Palace in 2007 in jogging shorts, promising to modernise France, has become a damaged brand, weakened by his own errors of judgment and style, as well as those of so many of his ministers. Even Mr Sarkozy’s brave attempt to restore French diplomatic credibility with muscular military action in Libya and Côte d’Ivoire, although popular, seems unlikely to improve his standing at home.
  • If French gloom were confined to just a personal rejection of Mr Sarkozy, the opposition Socialist Party would be enjoying a revival. But French disaffection reaches across the political divide. The Socialists are seen as divided and out of touch. Almost alone, the far-right National Front, under its savvy new leader, Marine Le Pen, is thriving, largely because it is grumpy about everything too. It complains about immigration and Islam, in a country with Europe’s biggest Muslim minority, and about the mainstream political parties, both on the left and the right. Repeated polls suggest that Ms Le Pen could defeat Mr Sarkozy to take his place in the 2012 presidential run-off, just as her father, Jean-Marie, eliminated the Socialist candidate, Lionel Jospin, in 2002.
  • The French seem simply to doubt their politicians’ ability to do much to improve anything. The economy is emerging only slowly from the recession, with GDP growth this year forecast to reach 1.7%, compared with 2.5% in Germany. Joblessness, at 9.6%, is high, and even more so for the under-25s. Although the government has embarked on fiscal consolidation, public finances remain under strain, with a deficit of 7.7% last year. Ordinary working people keep hearing that their high-tax, high-spending model provides them with one of the world’s most generous social systems; yet even the middle class feels a squeeze at the end of each month.
  • The upshot is a fatalistic France that seems to have set its sights on little better than controlled decline: a middling economic power, whose people cling to their social model and curse globalization, while failing to get to grips with either. Considering what they hear from politicians, this attitude is perhaps not surprising. The Socialist Party promises, with a straight face, to restore retirement at 60 (the age was recently raised to 62) and urges greater European protectionism as a response to globalization. Ms Le Pen vows to withdraw France from the euro and put back border controls. Mr Sarkozy’s political day-trip of choice is to a metal-bashing factory—although only 13% of jobs are in industry—where he surrounds himself with workers in overalls and hard hats, telling them they need to be protected from globalization and other ills.
  • One conclusion from all this is that France and its politicians are irredeemably conservative. Indeed, France often seems to be in semi-permanent revolt, arms crossed and heels dug in against change. Only last autumn, unions and oil workers led weeks of strikes and blockades in protest at Mr Sarkozy’s modest raising of the minimum retirement age. On a single day, up to 3.5m protesters took to the streets; petrol pumps ran dry across the country. “Why France is impossible to reform”, lamented L’Express, a news-magazine.
  • But if the French really are so allergic to change, how come the pension reform not only went through but has now been accepted, even forgotten? Only weeks after the new law reached the statute books in November, the matter did not rank among the nation’s top ten subjects of conversation, according to a poll for Paris-Match. France seemed to go through a painful spasm of rebellion, then to shrug it all off and resume business as usual. “We were able to demonstrate to the French people that there are things that a government just has to do,” argues Christine Lagarde, France’s finance minister. “For once, the government did not give in to the street.”
  • Various factors explain how pension reform passed: the modest ambition of the plan itself; a sense of crisis prompted by the Greek bail-out; the dwindling power of unions even in France to force retreat. As Guy Groux, an industrial-relations specialist at Sciences-Po university, points out, the last time French street protests forced a government to abandon a reform was five years ago, when Dominique de Villepin, then prime minister, tried to bring in a more flexible labor contract for the young. Protests in France are in part a theatrical ritual: a festive occasion for venting frustrations and making a point.
  • Another reason, though, is that there is a second side to France. By holding firm, and ignoring charges of political deafness, Mr Sarkozy appealed over the heads of those on the streets to the silent majority. He took a bet that this invisible France would quietly back change, and prevail over the rest. For, in reality, two halves of the country co-exist. One half, mostly, but not only, in the public-sector, is led by hard-talking trade unionists promising to prolong benefits for privileged “insiders” and entrench rigid labor laws. The other half, mostly found in the more dynamic, private sector, is plugged into global markets and just as despairing of its strike-happy fellow countrymen as anybody else.
  • This is the France that does not go on strike, that defies disruptions to struggle into work, and whose voice is seldom heard. It is found among the 92% of workers who do not belong to a union. It is the small traders and artisans who are up before dawn scrubbing their shop-front windows. It is the workforce whose productivity per hour worked is higher than that in Germany and Britain, and which helped to make France the world’s third highest destination for foreign direct investment in 2010. It is the third of private-sector employees who work for a foreign firm. It is France’s leading global companies—Vivendi, L’Oréal, Michelin, LVMH—which busily reap the benefits of globalization, a force that the French say they deplore.
  • This voiceless France, more adaptable and forward-looking, seldom permeates the national conversation. Yet a glance at the France behind the headlines hints at a picture that is a lot less glum. Shops are full, markets busy and consumer spending is buoyant. Property prices are up. The French have snapped up the i Pad and 20m, or nearly a third of the population, are on Face book. The French may moan about their country, their bureaucrats and their politicians, but they seem happy with their individual situation. Though only 17% of young people told one recent poll that their country’s future was promising, a massive 83% said that they were satisfied with their own lives.
  • Thanks to a decent diet and health system, the French, in particular French women, live longer than many others in Europe. Most strikingly, the French birth rate has risen to just over two babies per woman. By some estimates, France’s population will overtake Germany’s by 2037. The French, it seems, are persuaded by the ambient gloom that their country is doomed—yet even their own behavior suggests that they think it may have a future.
  • At a converted 19th-century warehouse on the Paris fringes a few months ago, French revolutionaries gathered to plot the future. They met, however, not to take to the streets but to take on the virtual world, at one of Europe’s biggest tech events. The shirts were tie less, the i Pads abundant and the language a blend of French and West Coast. There were Face book workshops, and talks on such themes as “Teen Entrepreneurs can Change the World”. Glass jars filled with lime-green and crimson jelly bears were perched on the buffet tables and talent contests for start-up entrepreneurs took place on the stage. “France isn’t just about strikes,” argues Loïc Le Meur, the event’s organizer. “There is a whole network of entrepreneurs who are French, but also plugged into the rest of the world.”
  • France’s start-up scene may be relatively new, but a fresh generation of faces has begun to graduate into the big league. They include such figures as Pierre Kosciusko-Morizet of Price-minister, Marc Simoncini of Meetic, and Xavier Niel of Iliad, who launched Free, a telecoms firm, from nothing to take on the established giants. Three entrepreneurs now plan to launch an internet business school in France this autumn. Among them is Jacques-Antoine Granjon, the founder of vente-privée.com, a private online shopping club. His firm employs over 1,300 staff, and turnover in 2010 jumped 15% to a handy €969m ($1.3m), mostly from sales in France.
  • “We are only at the beginning of the revolution,” declares Mr Granjon, rolling off his plans to expand across Europe. He runs the firm from a converted printing works on the outer northern edge of the Paris périphérique, where staff are offered yoga classes, and the open industrial spaces drip with avant-garde art installations. “The French are very entrepreneurial, very creative,” argues Mr Granjon. “What we are doing gives a signal to young people that everything is possible.”
  • In recent years, the government has cut red-tape for new businesses, and boosted the tax credit for investment in research and innovation. Just setting up a company in France used to involve a battle of wills with bureaucracy. Now the time it takes to register a new business has fallen from 41 days in 2004, according to the OECD, to just seven in 2010—lower than it is in Britain or Germany. Thanks to a simplified procedure, a record 622,000 entrepreneurs started new businesses in France last year, twice as many as in 2007. A recent advertisement for Rouen Business School, in Normandy, captures the innovative mood: “The ten most sought-after jobs in 2010 did not exist in 2004.”
  • By 2015, according to a study by McKinsey, a consultancy, France’s digital economy could nearly double in value and create 450,000 new jobs. The appeal of the technology scene seems to be spreading. When a poll asked French teenagers which company they would most like to work for, the top three responses were not, as in the past, French state enterprises, but Apple, Microsoft and Google.
  • This is a world that has little time for the preoccupations that blocked French roads and dried up petrol pumps. “I’m not against what they were doing, it’s just not relevant to me,” says Olivier Desmoulin, the 28-year-old founder of SuperMarmite, a start-up based on sharing home-cooked meals. It is the mindset of a different generation. Stéphane Distinguin, another entrepreneur, founded a start-up, faberNovel; both his parents were civil servants.“The politicians don’t make it easy”, he says, “but I don’t subscribe to the view that you can’t do anything in France.”
  • Plainly, not every Frenchman is a budding internet entrepreneur. There is plenty of rigid conservatism, within France’s big private firms—and certainly among those early-rising artisans. The French still express particular hostility to capitalism. But the outlook of this conservative crowd chimes with broader French public opinion in surprising ways. In a recent study on lifestyles by the Foundation for Political Innovation, a think-tank, 64% said they had no confidence in unions, and 53% regarded international trade as a good thing for France. Fully 52% defined themselves as middle class, with aspirational values to match. Of the top four values ranked by respondents, three were “freedom”, “responsibility” and “effort”.
  • Even during the pension-reform strikes, when polls seemed to show wholehearted support for the protesters, attitudes were mixed. Pascal Perrineau, a political scientist at Sciences-Po university, makes the point that the French almost always back strikes, particularly at the start. A majority supported those against pension reform in 1995, which crippled the country and forced the rigid government of the day to back down. An even bigger majority was initially behind the 2010 pension protests. Yet, as the weeks went by, such support proved thin. Between September and November, it dropped from 70% to 47%.
  • The French seem simultaneously to hold two conflicting views. When asked if they backed the strikes, a majority said yes. When asked in the same poll whether raising the retirement age was “responsible towards future generations”, 70% also said yes. In other words, the French temperamentally liked the idea of protest, not least as a way of snubbing Mr Sarkozy. But, at the same time, they knew that raising the retirement age to 62, when the Greeks were being told to stay at their desks till 65, was the reasonable thing to do. “Public opinion”, comments Ms Lagarde, “is much more mature than people think.
  • How much further could France go in modernising its social rules, so as to preserve what works best, while neither busting the state nor cramping growth? This is a pre-election year, and although Mr Sarkozy said that he would press on with reform, he is deeply unpopular and his prospects of re-election are in the balance. Already, he has abandoned one bold idea, of abolishing the anachronistic wealth tax, preferring merely to raise the minimum asset base at which the yearly tax kicks in, from €790,000 to €1.3m. The government will have to keep trimming spending, in order to get its deficit down to 3% by 2013, and to keep bond markets at bay. But it looks increasingly unlikely that Mr Sarkozy will launch any controversial economic reform ahead of the 2012 election.
  • The trouble is that France cannot afford to be complacent. Despite its failure to balance the government budget since the 1970s, it is not Greece or Ireland or Portugal. But nor is it Germany. For years, the French have comforted themselves with the illusion that their economy was more or less doing as well as, if not better than, their neighbour’s across the Rhine. During the recession, thanks to a strong state and welfare system, its economy was indeed less battered than Germany’s. But the recovery has exposed France’s competitiveness problem. Over the past ten years, Germany’s share of exports within the euro-zone has grown, while France’s has shrunk. In 2000 French labour costs were lower than those in Germany; now they are 10% higher.
  • A big part of the gap can be blamed on France’s heavy payroll taxes. These make employers’ total wage costs 41% higher in France than in Germany, according to Medef, the French bosses’ federation. They are one reason why French firms hesitate to grow, let alone to seek to export, and are reluctant to hire staff on permanent contracts. The average French firm employs just 14 people, according to COE Rexecode, a French research group, compared with 35 in Germany. The upshot is high structural unemployment in France, an over-reliance on temporary work, and a two-tier labour market that over-protects insiders and under-protects the rest. The young, who have become serial collectors of short-term contracts, pay the price by lacking the security that the insiders enjoy.
  • Such concerns ought to be at the heart of any debate today about French economic reform, and yet they are not. No politician dares to contemplate the spending cuts that would be needed in order to bring French social charges down to competitive levels. Nor does anybody seem ready to take on other blockages, such as the lobbies of taxi-drivers, pharmacies or notaries that keep such professions organised in their favour, rather than that of the consumer. Mr Sarkozy has achieved some useful reforms during his term, including pensions, the decentralisation of universities and some loosening of the 35-hour working week. But these are only a start.
  • With pension reform, Mr Sarkozy showed that it is possible to lean on the silent majority in order to defy conservatism and stir up France. At his best, he is one of the few politicians bold enough to argue the case for reforming the social model in order to safeguard it. But even he no longer seems ready to talk of France in a way that portrays its people, not as victims of outside forces, but as a source of entrepreneurial energy who could contribute to the creation of the wealth needed to sustain France’s social model. This France exists, and wants the government to do little more than get off its back.
  • Over 30 years ago, in “Le Mal Français”, Alain Peyrefitte, a Gaullist minister and thinker, wrote that “the French are as attached to the status quo as they are discontented with it.” He put this tension down to an over-bureaucratic system that crushes initiative and encourages passivity, and called for a shift in mentalities. A third of a century later, it is above all French politicians who have yet to change their outlook. French morosité and the politics of victimisation are overdone. France is a stronger, more resourceful place than its people seem to think. It is certainly not in as dire a condition as the euro-zone periphery. But it would be a sad reflection of shrivelled ambitions if that were the only standard it set for itself

Sunday, April 17, 2011

India and foreign investment

  • India’s  national monument, in New Delhi, is a tall, broad gate. That is ironic, for the country is hard for foreigners to enter, whether they be individuals trying to get a visa or businesses trying to invest.
  • India’s inaccessibility is unfortunate because, to bridge the gap between its weak domestic saving and its high investment needs, it must import capital, especially foreign direct investment (FDI), the least flighty kind. Yet the latest figures are going in the wrong direction. Last year India got just $24 billion in FDI, down by almost a third on 2009. Globally, FDI was flat over the period.
  • There are many reasons why foreign companies are put off India, from corruption and bureaucracy to the difficulty of obtaining land. These are problems that must be fixed for the sake of local, as well as international, businesses. But in too many areas foreign firms remain barred from entering the country altogether—railways and legal services, for instance—or are restricted to minority stakes—such as insurance and domestic airlines.
  • Indian officialdom realises this must change and, at the pace of a Himalayan glacier, has been opening up. From this month, for instance, foreign firms are allowed into a wider range of agricultural businesses. But many other such reforms are stuck. Given the huge benefits that liberalisation could bring to India’s 1.2 billion people, the government should pluck up courage and fling wide the gates.
  • India’s primitive and wasteful retail industry is the most glaring example of the need for foreign investment. The business is dominated by tiny mom-and-pop stores. The near-absence of big supermarket chains means there is no “chill chain” of transport and storage to keep fruit and vegetables fresh from field to shopping-basket. As a result, a quarter or more of such produce is wasted, a catastrophe in a country where so many go hungry. In more advanced retailing systems, less than a tenth is lost. Some big Indian firms are moving into the business, but what is needed is to lift the remaining restrictions on foreign ownership and let in international experts such as Walmart, Tesco and Carrefour.
  • Retailing employs more than 30m Indians, so some fear social unrest if the admission of foreign chains puts small shops out of business. But given India’s rapid growth there is plenty of space for supermarkets to expand without killing small stores. Indeed, the tiddlers would be better off buying their supplies from foreign supermarkets than from the inefficient, costly middlemen they rely on now. In any case, such worries are greatly outweighed by the potential benefits to Indian consumers: lower prices and better quality, choice and nutrition. Economists in America talk about the beneficial “Walmart effect” that the ubiquitous cheap chain has had on curbing prices. Indians, as they fret over soaring food costs, might find such a thing a godsend.
  • Given the success some Indian companies are now having on the world stage, India’s fear of foreign competition at home seems odd. It is time for the country’s politicians to sweep away such protectionism for good, and declare that India is as ready to take on the world in business as its World Cup-winning team is in cricket.